XX10 | End

[Chemist1422]

Which is exactly 0ver/watchme

Nice

[watchme1]

which means it's exactly me

rofl

[Chemist1422]

which means it's exactly me

rofl

Yep

Do you at least see my reasoning here though

[watchme1]

If I had guess

From your pov if you're town, then anyone jumping on murat would know that murat is town therefore is a free mislynch off murat and since if you're town, a possible chainlynch from murat -> you

[Chemist1422]

If I had guess

From your pov if you're town, then anyone jumping on murat would know that murat is town therefore is a free mislynch off murat and since if you're town, a possible chainlynch from murat -> you

A-minus, specifically a PR chain kill

On a related note, what’s your read on my slot

[watchme1]

I think I already said either you have balls as wolf which I find unlikely

or murat is wolf (at the time)

or the 3rd option is that the chances mechanically we're less than 10%

[watchme1]

If I had guess

From your pov if you're town, then anyone jumping on murat would know that murat is town therefore is a free mislynch off murat and since if you're town, a possible chainlynch from murat -> you

A-minus, specifically a PR chain kill

On a related note, what’s your read on my slot

Pre jackson replacement, they had a decentish push on murat for being over-defensive which i put as null+ town I believe. Then they disappeared and then got replaced out.

As for now, I'm feeling like s!chemist has no reason to cc murat as well as claim who you rb, if anything if you did want to cc murat as s, you'd be likely to retract a said claim today. sO i'm feeling town lean

[Chemist1422]

If I had guess

From your pov if you're town, then anyone jumping on murat would know that murat is town therefore is a free mislynch off murat and since if you're town, a possible chainlynch from murat -> you

A-minus, specifically a PR chain kill

On a related note, what’s your read on my slot

Pre jackson replacement, they had a decentish push on murat for being over-defensive which i put as null+ town I believe. Then they disappeared and then got replaced out.

As for now, I'm feeling like s!chemist has no reason to cc murat as well as claim who you rb, if anything if you did want to cc murat as s, you'd be likely to retract a said claim today. sO i'm feeling town lean

Cool

I’m going to be fully honest here and say I was trying to box you into that read but you at least bothered to give reasoning so that’s a plus

I do think you always townlean my slot here as scum though

[watchme1]

my take on you should be nai regardless, either way I'm forced to read you as town until further notice.

If you're indeed scum, then I suppose that's a new change of pace as to the way you play scum

[dolphina]

ok, if uzay isn't scum we can safely declare cob to be scum, right?

[watchme1]

if you are consort for whatever reason, outing the block on cenvil is heavily -ev anyway so more points for being not scum i guess

[watchme1]

ok, if uzay isn't scum we can safely declare cob to be scum, right?

in the event that happens, then yes, I don't see cob making a htg level of fps here

[Cenvil2]

blocked cenvil last night

thought he was disengaged late yesterday in a wolfy way and was more likely to be carrying the kill than say, uzay or dolphina

I can't confirm the rb right now.
I had a wrong assumption at the first day-start, which I sticked to myself the whole day.
(Anyone interested, my whole agenda was about that cob is definitely not a citizen with the amount of experience they have already in FM. just read their very first post again.)

cob is it better for you to claim the nature of your red check do you think

It is more likely to them being cop then lookout with this kind of claim.

[watchme1]

so like

sex

cute ❤

[watchme1]

blocked cenvil last night

thought he was disengaged late yesterday in a wolfy way and was more likely to be carrying the kill than say, uzay or dolphina

I can't confirm the rb right now.
I had a wrong assumption at the first day-start, which I sticked to myself the whole day.
(Anyone interested, my whole agenda was about that cob is definitely not a citizen with the amount of experience they have already in FM. just read their very first post again.)

cob is it better for you to claim the nature of your red check do you think

It is more likely to them being cop then lookout with this kind of claim.

You're basis for your agenda was a non-citizen read on cob

bruh

[Chemist1422]

my take on you should be nai regardless, either way I'm forced to read you as town until further notice.

If you're indeed scum, then I suppose that's a new change of pace as to the way you play scum

Not really

I think if you’re town here you go with your genuine read on me and disregard what I say

I do think there’s a solid chance your read on me is legit here but I think you’re a good enough wolf to recognize that you need to townread me here but not a good enough wolf to wolfread me anyway (no insult intended)

[watchme1]

I guess that's a fair enough of an argument for both ends

[Cenvil2]

if you are consort for whatever reason, outing the block on cenvil is heavily -ev anyway so more points for being not scum i guess

I agree, its unlikely them being a consort.

There was a hypothetical scenario, where they could safely cc and claim their night target without any fear, but with Cob's indirect claim that scenario does not live anymore.

[EvilDeanius0]

Oh look someone I said not to lynch was lynched and they were good.

lack of 2nd kill probably infers no tk's rolled

murat wagon prob max 1 scum due to how last minute i think it was

Firebrand douses are silent

[watchme1]

Oh look someone I said not to lynch was lynched and they were good.

lack of 2nd kill probably infers no tk's rolled

murat wagon prob max 1 scum due to how last minute i think it was

Firebrand douses are silent

vigilante is forced to roll if a k was rolled

[Cenvil2]

blocked cenvil last night

thought he was disengaged late yesterday in a wolfy way and was more likely to be carrying the kill than say, uzay or dolphina

I can't confirm the rb right now.
I had a wrong assumption at the first day-start, which I sticked to myself the whole day.
(Anyone interested, my whole agenda was about that cob is definitely not a citizen with the amount of experience they have already in FM. just read their very first post again.)

cob is it better for you to claim the nature of your red check do you think

It is more likely to them being cop then lookout with this kind of claim.

You're basis for your agenda was a non-citizen read on cob

bruh

The basis.

The rest was I was seeing their other postd more likely to come from scum than PR.

[Cenvil2]

Btw, red Uzay spews green Sparking. (I doubt that the theatre between them comes from SvS)

And maybe red Uzay means red dolphina? (I still see dolphina as Town right now, but) red dolphina would imply green dota. (their push was way more genuine and aggressive for being a bus.)

[Chemist1422]

prediction

not many mafia were there at eod1 because votes were abnormally close given obtained information meaning that murat should almost always be the lynch

wolves dont have much risk in jumping on that wagon because of that so it's weird that it wasn't more unanimous so that wolves weren't at risk of a w!uzay lynch

that’s ~approx the basis of my watchme read tbh

[watchme1]

Re: XX10 | Day 1
Post #1819 by watchme1 (ISO)» Thu Jul 23, 2020 10:08:01 am

/vote murat

If my read on them earlier is correct then this is kinda pog

my vote was literally 13 seconds before eod jesus christ

[Chemist1422]

i guess a better argument would be

more likely wolves are those who *couldn't* be there, rather than apparently weren't there

since if a wolf was lurking they'd likely have come out just for the eod vote on murat

im gonna take a shot in the dark and say that applies to cenvil