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Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 2:14 am
by Iamtoe
It has been about 15 games and I still haven't gotten exe once. Anyone else having similar issues?

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 2:49 pm
by Jerme
Have you quipped the scroll?
Which gamemode did you play?
Were there any executioners in those games?

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 3:31 pm
by ElderSivart
I've never used scrolls so idk how much they actually improve your chances realistically but it's always possible you're just really unlucky.

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 3:38 pm
by Descender
Yeah, i once managed to go over 20.

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 3:46 pm
by MysticMismagius
ElderSivart wrote:I've never used scrolls so idk how much they actually improve your chances realistically but it's always possible you're just really unlucky.
When you look at the wheel, it says that your chances of getting a non-unique role that you have a scroll on is 42%. Thus the chance of not getting that role in 15 games straight is (1-.42)^15= 2.827613 * 10^-4, or about .028%. It’s possible that OP is “.028% chance” levels of unlucky, but with odds that low it makes me raise an eyebrow.

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 7:24 pm
by shapesifter13
That isn't really how scrolls work. Scrolls give you a 42% chance of getting the role IF it roles in the game.

EX: There is 9 Random Town slots, 5 random Mafia slots, and 1 NE spot. That NE could be the Witch, Jester, or Exe, so there is only a 1/3 chance of there being an Exe in that game. If there is an Exe, then you have 110 of the 250 lots for that role, so you have a 42% chance of getting it now that it is in the role list.

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 8:21 pm
by ElderSivart
shapesifter13 wrote:That isn't really how scrolls work. Scrolls give you a 42% chance of getting the role IF it roles in the game.

EX: There is 9 Random Town slots, 5 random Mafia slots, and 1 NE spot. That NE could be the Witch, Jester, or Exe, so there is only a 1/3 chance of there being an Exe in that game. If there is an Exe, then you have 110 of the 250 lots for that role, so you have a 42% chance of getting it now that it is in the role list.

so with 1 NE slot it's only a 14% chance? (1/3 * 42%)

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 9:32 pm
by shapesifter13
Correct.

Re: Exe scrolls not working?

PostPosted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 2:16 pm
by Jerme
I believe I can savely move this to not bugs.