VFM50 | DOOM | Game Over (A Brighter Tomorrow)

[S0me0ne23]

it would be nice if chemist did something other than spazzing out over being wagoned

it would be nice if you and Gent did anything other than tunnel me (or me and Phone in your case)

can you give me quotes and actually show why you're scumreading goomba? :)

[S0me0ne23]

you can't just say people are tunneling because they have reads you don't like

[Chemist1422]

/vote ryan
I just want this gone at this point. Ryan's mentality cannot possibly come from town.

[S0me0ne23]

and how is the post bad?

[Chemist1422]

it would be nice if chemist did something other than spazzing out over being wagoned

it would be nice if you and Gent did anything other than tunnel me (or me and Phone in your case)

can you give me quotes and actually show why you're scumreading goomba?

If you stop using that emoji

you can't just say people are tunneling because they have reads you don't like

Read Gent’s ISO

[Chemist1422]

and how is the post bad?

I’m getting to it

[S0me0ne23]

ok gent's tunneling, but you've also done a really poor job of responding to stuff

[Chemist1422]

Ryan hammered his n0 hypo. That's a big HMMMM for me.

[Chemist1422]

ok gent's tunneling, but you've also done a really poor job of responding to stuff

Well I’m trying my best

[Chemist1422]

I now know first hand how it feels to be tunneled by seth. Fkin disgusting.

The very fact that he is being so obnoxious makes me believe he is town.

My idea of a scum team right now is woahah/chemist/ryan here.

Woahah because he evaded pressure on him and then his wagon just spontaneously dissolved.

Chemist for setting up 2 mislynches.

Ryan for voting his fkin hypo townread who he thought was the cop.

Whatever the case out of these three ryan fliping scum is the highest probability.

@seth wtf do you mean I am not getting attention? Literally the whole participating players are scumreading me right now. And your plan post was just plain disgusting.

Goomba’s reads in VFM49 for comparison

Much more proactive and less reactive

There’s a serious meta difference here

[S0me0ne23]

is that all?

[Kmenx]

Person:Votes Ryan for making scummy stuff
Chemist:is this death tunneling

[Chemist1422]

Person:Votes Ryan for making scummy stuff
Chemist:is this death tunneling

He’s literally self-voting because Ryan isn’t being wagoned

Am I reading the same game as you

[Kmenx]

Person:Votes Ryan for making scummy stuff
Chemist:is this death tunneling

He’s literally self-voting because Ryan isn’t being wagoned

Am I reading the same game as you

I was talking about Goomba

[Chemist1422]

Person:Votes Ryan for making scummy stuff
Chemist:is this death tunneling

He’s literally self-voting because Ryan isn’t being wagoned

Am I reading the same game as you

I was talking about Goomba

I didn’t say Goomba was death-tunneling

[S0me0ne23]

having 3 contested wagons is actually much better of a game state than struggling to find one

[Phone0Ix]

having 3 contested wagons is actually much better of a game state than struggling to find one

Not if all suck

[dota2reporter]

i wouldn't be against all the 3 lynches happening in the span of 3 days actually

[TrueGent]

Also have you ever considered I rescinded the Qva/Goomba w/w read BECAUSE ONE OF THEM FLIPPED TOWN

You said one was wolf if the other flipped town on D1 then retracted it the next page you should get your story straight before you post sir

Try not being condescending for once because it’s really not fun to play with

What a coincidence that chemist swaps his read back on qva/goomba with no progression after one flips town

If you look at the context of it, I had them as conditionally clear if the other flips wolf. Goomba then said something that made me feel different about that. Since Qva flipped town, I was wrong on that part but still think I’m correct on the original

Ok but what made the read switch back

Qva flipping town

Are you being intentionally dumb

[TrueGent]

E = Flips Mafia
nE = Flips Town
G = Guesses cop correctly

Assuming no players claimed a n0 on Ryan (lenient since Kears/Seth could have)

P(E) = 3/11
P(G|E) = 1/(10-1.5) = 2/17
Pr(G|nE) = 1/12
Pr(nE) = 8/11

Pr(E|G) = (2/17)(3/11)/(2/17)(3/11)+(1/12)(8/11) = 9/26

Prior probability of Ryan flipping Mafia = 3/11 = 0.273
Posterior probability of Ryan flipping Mafia = 9/26 = 0.346

Never post this garbage again

you're right, I shouldn't have assumed literally any of the players here would be capable of basic probability

my bad

Nfm is that way

I think if you fail to acknowledge objective information based on statistical analysis you're the one playing like shit

Just a thought

No one cares about math we are here to play mafia

[TrueGent]

Have I seriously not played for so long that literally everyone has forgotten the many times I've death tunneled scum on d2

[TrueGent]

Consider: If I'm mafia what in the everliving fuck is my mafia team doing that's making it so hard to lynch chemist
If you cannot answer this then vote chemist because no one has refuted my points on chemist

[ryanyb]

Now on top of having had a busy weekend I’m coming down with a cold
This is fun

[ryanyb]

And by cold I mean flu

[ryanyb]

I literally haven’t had time to read this game at all this phase and won’t until tonight
So that’s fun