Page 68 of 93

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:20 pm
by 0verki11
Day 2 ends in 30 minutes

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:38 pm
by ejjinami
ejjinami wrote:is the lynch plurality or majority?

@0verki11

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:47 pm
by cupcakeaj2
Yass

Ejji is suspicious for distancing

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:50 pm
by ejjinami
cupcakeaj2 wrote:Yass

Ejji is suspicious for distancing

hi there, wanna chat?

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:50 pm
by ejjinami
which mafia are you?

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:51 pm
by cupcakeaj2
And that’s EoD

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:52 pm
by 0verki11
ejjinami wrote:
ejjinami wrote:is the lynch plurality or majority?

@0verki11

Both, if you reach the majority before the day ends the day ends, if you do not reach majority before the day ends the person with the highest amount of votes are lynched, ties are resolved by whoever reaches the number first

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:54 pm
by cupcakeaj2
Qvapil and Zucker and Grumpy are scummy

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:57 pm
by TheDebil
guess n2 is just wifoming whether cupcake throwing random names has any weight behind it

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:57 pm
by ejjinami
0verki11 wrote:
ejjinami wrote:
ejjinami wrote:is the lynch plurality or majority?

@0verki11

Both, if you reach the majority before the day ends the day ends, if you do not reach majority before the day ends the person with the highest amount of votes are lynched, ties are resolved by whoever reaches the number first

thx

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:58 pm
by 0verki11
And thats D2 over, very cool.
Cupcake was lynched. He was mafia vig switch.
Night 2 starts you have 27 hours as im not around at this time tommorow.

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sat May 18, 2019 3:58 pm
by 0verki11
0verki11 wrote:
Current Vote Count
Player Votes Voters
  # Votes Until Majority

Probably right be dont quote me on that one

VC glgl.

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 7:23 pm
by 0verki11
lol all of the deaths.
Uzay was killed, he was Mafia cop switch
Dash2 was killed, he was Cop
Flake was killed, he was cit.
48 hours glgl.

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 7:24 pm
by 0verki11
Also Kreeal replaces Zucker.

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 7:25 pm
by Chemist1422
Flake is a god tbh

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 7:26 pm
by Chemist1422
Flake wrote:UzayAltay - 8
tfiosforevah - 7
Rickdaily12 - 5
ProtoZigg/TheDebil - 4
Chemist1422 - 4
Qvapil - 3
Goomba - 3
ejjinami - 2
Zucker - 2
Dash - 1

Mafia equity list based upon interactions with cupcake & other things

From 0-10, 0 being least likely to be mafia, 10 being most likely, 5 being default probability of being mafia (2/10 = 0.2) with Flake, Eragon, Phone and Crimson as known Town and Cupcake as known Mafia from my PoV

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 7:28 pm
by Chemist1422
Alive:
Chemist
Tfios
Rick
Debil
Qva
Goomba
Ejji
Kreaal

Six town (one vig), one mafia, one SK

If we mislynch and misshoot we're in LyLo if the vig dies and technical LyLo if the vig lives

Vig shouldn't be claiming unless they get wagoned

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 8:21 pm
by ejjinami
Sigh, let me post a bit since I can’t sleep anyway

I’ve done some re-reading and I think I might have changed my opinion about a lot of things
[Chemist, Grumpy] (+ 99% not mafia)
[Zuck, Qvap]
[rick > Debil > tfio]

Chemist’s interactions are terrible, but I genuinely believe he wouldn’t have forgotten about dash’s slip if he were scum.
As mafia, even if he did, his teammates would have reminded him of it. (and if the slip was fake, would have noticed it and lock-towned Chem BEFORE I did it in my incredibly late catchup)
In short, chemist cannot be mafia.
SK is possible, but honestly, I think he might just be town.

And Grumpy’s interactions are great. I wasn’t so sure of it before, but I really, really doubt they would have voted cupcake the way they did if they were buddies with him.
GrumpyGoomba wrote:Well being pissed does not really warrant a lynch on the person you are pissed at now does it? That's just policy lynching if I remember that right.

This ^ is also a very townie reaction.
It couldn’t have been faked because of how fast it came after the post it responded to.
So same as chemist, while them being SK is possible, I think they should just be town.

Those 2 are my top reads now.

I still think I’m TRing Zuck and Qvap, but both of them have gone down significantly.
Zuck because he’s unreasonable, has bad interactions and I can’t even bring myself to read his posts.

And I remember hard-TRing Qvap D1 because of activity and his general attitude. This TR has faded slightly, mainly because of awful interactions with cup and because of the drop in townie posting, but I still think he should be more likely town than scum.

So now, it comes down to tfio, Debil and Rick.
Frankly, I haven’t tried reading rick yet, so I’ll save my opinion for after I do that.
And I liked neither proto’s nor tfio’s posting. In tfio’s case, mainly because of interactions.

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 8:21 pm
by ejjinami
/vote tfio

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 8:23 pm
by ejjinami
fun fact, flake died just when I was about to start TRing him

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 8:25 pm
by ejjinami
oh and hi @newseth'salt

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 8:33 pm
by ejjinami
Chemist1422 wrote:Six town (one vig), one mafia, one SK

If we mislynch and misshoot we're in LyLo if the vig dies and technical LyLo if the vig lives

Vig shouldn't be claiming unless they get wagoned

Now: 6:1:1
After a ML: 5:1:1
After N3 (2 scum kills and a mis-shot): 2:1:1

If the vig shoots town, dies and the scums don’t cross-kill, we’ll have no chance to win.
So depending on the situation we could be in lylo rn?

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 8:46 pm
by ejjinami
Hey @rick, what do you think of town!eragon’s scum-hunting?

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 10:59 pm
by Kreaal
I’ll get back to this and give proper reads when I wake up, but I’d like to point out a couple of things before I take my leave.
First off, I feel Vigilante should reveal since Mafia can’t stop their attack and they get a free kill.
Secondly, I will be going through everyone’s ISO’s including those that didn’t vote Cupcake.
Thirdly, I’ll be looking at all the dead town members and all the dead mafia members to see if I can find anything out of the ordinary.
Lastly, I’ll be ISO pointing 3 participants I find most likely to flip the last 2 remaining scum slots.

Re: VFM 49: Day 2

PostPosted: Sun May 19, 2019 11:03 pm
by GrumpyGoomba
Strongly disagree on vig revealing. They get 2 more bloody free shots by not revealing. Also nice one vig.