PurpleSidewalk1 wrote:ChubbyMooshroom9 wrote:Purple that WCS brings us down to 2v3v1
No matter what happens there mafia wins. And, just for you, let's assume Gent is scum. It ends up in 2v2v1, where Olly kingmakes.
Literally lynching town and arso ignite means loss
Can you fucking count? There is literally no way to even possibly get to 2v3v1. No matter what we do we cannot get to 2v3v1.
Gent or tfios is scum if you are town. That is a fact. Here I'll fucking show you because you can't fucking count:
[spoiler]Possibility 1: Swords!Arso, Murat!Town, Olly!Town
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - olly
Random Town - murat
Citizen - michael/sevo
Citizen - Chubby
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios
Godfather - michael/sevo - met/chubby/tfios - gent
Disguiser - met/chubby/tfios - gent
Random Mafia - met/chubby/tfios - gent
Arsonist - swords
Possibility 2: Sword!Arso, Murat!Mafia, Olly!Town (basically it is possible here but only if Murat!Mafia)
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - olly
Random Town - Chubby
Citizen - michael/sevo
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/chubby/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/chubby/tfios/gent
Godfather - michael/sevo - met/tfios - murat
Disguiser - met/tfios - murat
Random Mafia - met/chubby/tfios - murat
Arsonist - swords
Possibility 3: Swords!Arso, Murat!Town, Olly!Mafia
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - murat
Random Town - Chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/chubby/tfios
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/chubby/tfios
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/chubby/tfios
Godfather - michael/sevo/met/chubby/tfios - gent
Consig - olly
Random Mafia - met/chubby/tfios/michael/sevo - gent
Arsonist - swords
Possibility 4: Swords!Mafia, Murat!Town, Olly!Town
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - murat
Random Town - olly
Citizen - michael/sevo
Citizen - chubby
Citizen - micheal/sevo/tfios
Godfather - sevo/michael/tfios - gent/swords
Disguiser - tfios - gent/swords
Random Mafia - tfios - gent/swords
Arsonist - met
Possibility 5: Swords!Mafia, Murat!Arso, Olly!Town (highly unlikely IMO), in this case it could be Swords, michael/sevo, and met, but Murat!Arso seems unlikely to me and that mafia team seems really out there
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - olly
Random Town - chubby
Citizen - michael/sevo
Citizen - met/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios/gent
Godfather - michael/sevo - met/chubby/tfios/gent - swords
Disguiser - met/gent/tfios - swords
Random Mafia - met/gent/tfios - swords
Arsonist - murat
Possibility 6: Swords!Town, Murat!Town, Olly!Mafia
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - murat
Random Town - swords
Citizen - chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios
Godfather - met/michael/sevo/tfios - gent
Consig - olly
Random Mafia - met/tfios/michael/sevo - gent
Arsonist - met/sevo/michael (since Olly could have faked results)
Possibility 7: Swords!Town, Murat!Mafia, Olly!Mafia, another fringe case which is weird af where you could have a michael/met/sevo, murat, olly mafia, but I don't think anyone thinks this is a thing lol
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - swords
Random Town - Chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios/gent
Godfather - met/michael/sevo/tfios - murat
Consig - olly
Random Mafia - met/tfios/michael/sevo - murat
Arsonist - met/sevo/michael
Possibility 8: Sword!Town, Murat!Arso, Olly!Mafia, another one that has murat as arso and it is still pretty iffy and I would put met, tfios, and sevo above gent and michael in this case.
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - swords
Random Town - Chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios/gent
Godfather - michael/sevo/met/tfios/gent
Consig - olly
Random Mafia - michael/sevo/met/gent/tfios
Arsonist - murat
Remote Possibility 1: Swords!Town, Murat!Town, Olly!Arso
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - swords
Random Town - murat
Citizen - chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios
Godfather - met/michael/sevo/tfios - gent
Random Mafia - met/tfios/michael/sevo - gent
Random Mafia - met/tfios/michael/sevo - gent
Arsonist - Olly
Remote Possibility 2: Swords!Town, Murat!Mafia, Olly!Arso
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - swords
Random Town - Chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios/gent
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios/gent
Godfather - met/michael/sevo/tfios - murat
Random Mafia - met/tfios/michael/sevo - murat
Random Mafia - met/tfios/michael/sevo - murat
Arsonist - Olly
Remote Possibility 3: Swords!Mafia, Murat!Town, Olly!Arso
Town Support - elusive
Town Killing - wolf
Random Town - purple
Random Town - murat
Random Town - Chubby
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios
Citizen - met/michael/sevo/tfios
Citizen - met/micheal/sevo/tfios
Godfather - met/michael/sevo/tfios - gent/swords
Random Mafia - met/michael/sevo/tfios - gent/swords
Random Mafia - met/michael/sevo/tfios - gent/swords
Arsonist - olly
It basically comes down to this: murat and gent are opposites of each other due to the nature of their rivalry, if murat and gent are both town then we lose. I would bet my whole family on murat and gent being opposites. Even then tfios could be a surprise mafia member. Even then, even if both gent and tfios are town, there is no possible way that Arso would know thus there is no fucking way in hell Arso ignites tonight.
Swordsworth wrote:ElusiveBelle wrote:I'm a bit busy right now so I'll get back to Purple's chaos theory when I can, although I'm going to stick with the facts for now and the known arso suspects. From my PoV lynching one of them, which doesn't include Olly, would be better to dwindle down my job to safely defuse the situation regardless.
Every iteration of this statement or its derivatives gives a loved one osteoporosis and denies competitive online matchmaking.
Mate, olly!arso makes about as much sense as Elusive!arso or Wolf!arso.
ElusiveBelle wrote:I'm a bit busy right now so I'll get back to Purple's chaos theory when I can, although I'm going to stick with the facts for now and the known arso suspects. From my PoV lynching one of them, which doesn't include Olly, would be better to dwindle down my job to safely defuse the situation regardless.
It's not a chaos theory, you already agree with everything that I need you to in order for the plan to work in 100% effect. Do you agree that murat is town? Yes. Do you agree that Cow knows Swords and/or Olly's alignment? Yes. That is it. If you agree with those two statements then Town cannot lose with this plan, it is impossible.