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[dota2reporter]

Well I don`t think this day 1 will go anymore forward... We got soft-claims and protection request. We got all we need

[taylork2]

Well I don`t think this day 1 will go anymore forward... We got soft-claims and protection request. We got all we need

Unless we have a day 1 "King" reveal like CFM4. Which ya know is kinda bad considering we don't have any garenteeded roles with the randoms and the pool's available.

[BirdyThePhoenix]

I really don't want a mayor reveal day 1. Leave that for later; at the earliest, day 2; we really don't need our mayor dying early on. We don't need the mayor dying at all, but early on is the worst.

[taylork2]

I really don't want a mayor reveal day 1. Leave that for later; at the earliest, day 2; we really don't need our mayor dying early on. We don't need the mayor dying at all, but early on is the worst.

Well speaking of the mayor dying, if one of the sectors has a retri and they don't die before the merge then they always "could" bring em back.

[dota2reporter]

I really don't want a mayor reveal day 1. Leave that for later; at the earliest, day 2; we really don't need our mayor dying early on. We don't need the mayor dying at all, but early on is the worst.

Well speaking of the mayor dying, if one of the sectors has a retri and they don't die before the merge then they always "could" bring em back.

If so, I hope Mayor doesn`t reveal so the Doctor can heal him.

[Arcthurus]

OMFG, I did not see this thread, I didn't knew this started...................shiettttttttttttttttt

You didn't lose much.

[Hurricat]

OMFG, I did not see this thread, I didn't knew this started...................shiettttttttttttttttt

Well, it's still day 1 so you're okay

[dota2reporter]

OMFG, I did not see this thread, I didn't knew this started...................shiettttttttttttttttt

Didn`t see the Metrion Mafia Night Discussion m8?

[Aeolian]

Can this day get any more uneventful?

[taylork2]

Can this day get any more uneventful?

Well...what could possibly go wrong?

[Arcthurus]

Hey guys, I'm executioner.


Kappa
yes I'm joking

[Arcthurus]

Alright we cant waste this day, that will just give the mafia the advantage.
Timeeee for someeeeeeeeeeeeee questionsssssss~
My favorite one is.....who do you think is gonna get attacked tonight?

I think we should leave that for the protective(s). Better to not influence the mafia's choices.

[Arcthurus]

Alright we cant waste this day, that will just give the mafia the advantage.
Timeeee for someeeeeeeeeeeeee questionsssssss~
My favorite one is.....who do you think is gonna get attacked tonight?

I think we should leave that for the protective(s). Better to not influence the mafia's choices.

*sigh* no need to say who you actually think is gonna get attacked, try to trick the mafia.
this question wont work anymore Anoooooooooooooother one~
What do you think about the mayor revealing now? *if there is a mayor*

What would be the point? In what way would that benefit the town?

[Aeolian]

It'd be a waste revealing your role at this point. Barring a few Neutrals.
And that's why if leyva genuinely is the Lawyer I will seriously question his motives and strategies. :l
How do we not a waste a day almost entirely meant to be wasted

[Arcthurus]

Tricking the mafia and confusing them, also getting them to slip.
its better than doing nothing at all.

I was talking about the mayor reveal. Sorry for not being clear.

[pretzellover33]

let's do some word association!

first word: lawyer

[Arcthurus]

If there was a marshal revealing would be a good move. =P

Wait, what? How exactly having the protective that can't self-protect reveal would help? Is that a typo?
Also, you still didn't say why a mayor should reveal. It won't achieve nothing, especially since we're a couple hours from the day ending.

[DizzyWaddleDoo]

If there was a marshal revealing would be a good move. =P

Wait, what? How exactly having the protective that can't self-protect reveal would help? Is that a typo?
Also, you still didn't say why a mayor should reveal. It won't achieve nothing, especially since we're a couple hours from the day ending.

I thought the marshal can scare away all killing roles? expect stalker.
(but what are the chances of the stalker being in our district)
I meant the mayor revealing when there is a marshal, then the mayor can gather the roles unless there is a number of whispers cap. (i only played TFM so yea)

Then Mafia sends a decpetion role or consort after the Mayor as well as their killing role and it's bye bye Mayor.

[Arcthurus]

i guess a late mayor reveal is the best way to ensure we win this game. =P

If there's a mayor, he/she can just reveal D2 after 24 hours have passed.

[taylork2]

The risk of the mayor dying randomly is there as well, so revealing day 2 is not a bad idea.

That may not be a problem as there's a good chance(not certain) that we have a retri in one sector that can bring the mayor back after the merge if the individual in question hasn't already bit the bullet. Although this may not matter if we have a bomber, the fuse is lit Night 1 and everyone here dies including a possible retri inside here.
Fun possibilities huh?

[BirdyThePhoenix]

My god you guys, you scared me half to death; I thought a mayor had claimed.
Like I said, if there is a mayor, WAIT A LITTLE BIT BEFORE CLAIMING. The earliest you should claim is after 24 hours in day 2.

[BirdyThePhoenix]

The risk of the mayor dying randomly is there as well, so revealing day 2 is not a bad idea.

That may not be a problem as there's a good chance(not certain) that we have a retri in one sector that can bring the mayor back after the merge if the individual in question hasn't already bit the bullet. Although this may not matter if we have a bomber, the fuse is lit Night 1 and everyone here dies including a possible retri inside here.
Fun possibilities huh?

I think this is the first time I hope for an arsonist to be the neutral killing.

I get your point. But then again, what if the arsonist were to douse someone like the retri and then ignite, and then where would we be? *sigh*

[Animate]

Since there's only a bit of time left, I'd figure doing some statistics would hopefully be somewhat productive be better than nothing.

Probability of there not being an Agent in our district (disregarding the any, since that possibility is negligible): (not in Mafia Support)*(not in Random Mafia)*(not in Pool 2) = (2/3)*(6/7)*[1-(1/3)*(1/7)] = approximately 54.4%.
Probability there is an Agent here: 100-54.4 = 45.6%.
Assuming all 7 mafia members (excluding Godfather) has an equal chance of being rolled in Random Mafia.

Probability of there being at least one bomber in our district (disregarding the any):
[chance of having "Bomber" in one of our pool 4s] + [chance of getting NK & NK as our pool 4s * chance of there being at least one bomber between them] + [chance of getting exactly 1 NK in our pool 4s (with the other not being a bomber) * chance that that NK is bomber]
= 5/15 + (1/15)(7/16) + (6/15)(1/4) = 37/80 = 46.25% (the same probability for at least 1 SK, Arso, or stalker as well)

..Upon reflection this isn't that useful at all, but I might as well post this.

The risk of the mayor dying randomly is there as well, so revealing day 2 is not a bad idea.

That may not be a problem as there's a good chance(not certain) that we have a retri in one sector that can bring the mayor back after the merge if the individual in question hasn't already bit the bullet. Although this may not matter if we have a bomber, the fuse is lit Night 1 and everyone here dies including a possible retri inside here.
Fun possibilities huh?

There's also the possibility that said retri in another district already used their power to revive someone in their district prior to the merger.

[Metrion]

The sun soon set on the marketplace district. Carts left abandoned in the roads, shops hastily boarded up. The air was full of anxiousness. What would tomorrow bring and more importantly: who would die tonight? One of those questions was being deeply considered by a group hidden away in a corner of the district.

Night 1 begins! Night will end on May 4th 9:00 pm [UTC -3].

Mafia chat is now closed.
Please send your night actions in.

[Metrion]

The district woke to a single dead body decorating the square.

Taylork2 died last night, they were stabbed by a Serial Killer.

Only a last will was found.

Taylor the Bodyguard here acting as possibly this part of town's possibly only protective(gonna suck when I die huh?).
Night 1:LeScraf- Don't know why, but I "feel" this is something I should do. Also leyva requesting protection? It's likely we have two protectives and possible they are not even a townie. Also stalker which I can't stop.

So uhh yeah I'm dead.....kind of expected as I am bodyguard. XC
Ohh you're welcome if I die saving someone and it'll be nice to see something besides "you slept peacefully" for once.

Their role was Bodyguard.


Day 2 begins! Day will end on May 9th 9:00 pm [UTC -3] or when a majority is met.

120 hours remain.


Also note, sorry to Matthew8367 could not see this chat for the duration of Day 1.