XX1 | Popcorn Man III | End

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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:42 pm

ZoruaLuhansk wrote:
Flake wrote:zorua answer truthfully

are u a wolf

no

can confirm we are masons
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:43 pm

although my heart rate went up when I read that and idk why
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:43 pm

ZoruaLuhansk wrote:although my heart rate went up when I read that and idk why

love at first sight
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:44 pm

flake's profile picture isn't a racoon even though his sig says it is
bannd
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:45 pm

Flake wrote:
ZoruaLuhansk wrote:although my heart rate went up when I read that and idk why

i have that affect on people

;)

if weak wreck it ralph asked me if I was a furry id be scared
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:45 pm

ZoruaLuhansk wrote:flake's profile picture isn't a racoon even though his sig says it is
bannd

hes a furry
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:45 pm

Flake wrote:
ZoruaLuhansk wrote:flake's profile picture isn't a racoon even though his sig says it is
bannd

im a raccoon at heart

uwu

hes a furry
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:46 pm

my heart rate is still above normal
I think this means I need more sleep
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 2:47 pm

ZoruaLuhansk wrote:my heart rate is still above normal
I think this means I need more sleep

just get some rest sweetie
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:08 pm

Sample Rand: STTBSBSTS

Bodyguard
Doctor
Transporter
Transporter
Escort
Citizen x8

Godfather
Tracker
Consigliere
Jailkeeper

Mafia need Baseline 4 1/2 ML's to win (+1/2 per Doctor Heal/BG Defend/Escort RB on the kill, +1 per Transporter making mafia hit itself)
With the number of PR's we can probably safely assume mafia need 1 or 1 1/2 full extra ML's
So they need to ML 6/13 Townies
So we need 8 Unlynched Town in this scenario to win outright, versus 5 PR's
so pretty good, allows for the bad town meta on ToS
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Transcender » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:14 pm

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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:23 pm

Spoiler: Rand 2: L B T L T C B T K

Cop
Bodyguard
Doctor
Lookout
Tracker
Vigilante
Citizen x7

GF
Tracker
Jailkeeper
Consig

Rand 3: B T B T S L C B T

Cop
Bodyguard
Bodyguard
Lookout
Escort
Citizen x8

GF
Tracker
Jailkeeper
Consig

Rand 4: T T T C T C C B L

Cop
Cop
Bodyguard
Lookout
Citizen x9

Goon
Consig
Consort
Tracker

Rand 5: B L C S K C B B T

Cop
Parity Cop
Bodyguard
Bodyguard
Lookout
Vigilante
Escort
Citizen x6

GF
Consort
Consig
Firebrand

Rand 6: T T K T T T S L K

Lookout
Vigilante
Firebrand
Escort
Citizen x9

Goon
Consig
Consort
Tracker

Remind me to do this later
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby SparkingJay » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:27 pm

OllyRenard wrote:Wabbit isn't spamming thread. What could this mean?

There is peace.

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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby SparkingJay » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:27 pm

ZoruaLuhansk wrote: Spoiler: Rand 2: L B T L T C B T K

Cop
Bodyguard
Doctor
Lookout
Tracker
Vigilante
Citizen x7

GF
Tracker
Jailkeeper
Consig

Rand 3: B T B T S L C B T

Cop
Bodyguard
Bodyguard
Lookout
Escort
Citizen x8

GF
Tracker
Jailkeeper
Consig

Rand 4: T T T C T C C B L

Cop
Cop
Bodyguard
Lookout
Citizen x9

Goon
Consig
Consort
Tracker

Rand 5: B L C S K C B B T

Cop
Parity Cop
Bodyguard
Bodyguard
Lookout
Vigilante
Escort
Citizen x6

GF
Consort
Consig
Firebrand

Rand 6: T T K T T T S L K

Lookout
Vigilante
Firebrand
Escort
Citizen x9

Goon
Consig
Consort
Tracker

Remind me to do this later

ok

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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby SparkingJay » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:29 pm

Flake wrote:
ZoruaLuhansk wrote:although my heart rate went up when I read that and idk why

i have that affect on people

;)

@Chemist, attend to this matter.

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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby TheDebil » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:30 pm

/vote google
easy
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby TheDebil » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:30 pm

good work flake
the furry is caught
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Chemist1422 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:45 pm

SparkingJayYT wrote:
Flake wrote:
ZoruaLuhansk wrote:although my heart rate went up when I read that and idk why

i have that affect on people

;)

@Chemist, attend to this matter.

what does this mean
mist ~ she/her

i guess this is goodbye?
(still here for danganronpa i guess)


stop sending reports to me i'm not a tos game moderator
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:49 pm

Spoiler: Rand 2: L B T L T C B T K

Cop
Bodyguard
Doctor
Lookout
Tracker
Vigilante
Citizen x7

GF
Tracker
Jailkeeper
Consig

4 1/2 Base ML's (+1/2 / Doc, BG, Vig*; +1 / Cop*)
~7 adjusted ML's
Lookout + Tracker likely to confirm nearly all PR's
Town needs: 7 Clears (6 PR's, E)
Assessment: Very Townsided

Rand 3: B T B T S L C B T

Cop
Bodyguard
Bodyguard
Lookout
Escort
Citizen x8

GF
Tracker
Jailkeeper
Consig

4 1/2 Base ML's (+1/2 / BG, Esc; +1 / Cop*)
Assume 6 adjusted ML's
Lookout makes it easier to confirm PR's
Town needs: 8 Clears, (5 PR's, M)
Asessment: Townleaning

Rand 4: T T T C T C C B L

Cop
Cop
Bodyguard
Lookout
Citizen x9

Goon
Consig
Consort
Tracker

4 1/2 Base ML's (+1/2 / BG, +1/Cop*)
~7 Adjusted ML's
Lookout makes it easier to confirm PR's
Town Needs: 7 Clears (4 PR's, M)
Assessment: Townleaning (Cops are dangerous)

Rand 5: B L C S K C B B T

Cop
Parity Cop
Bodyguard
Bodyguard
Lookout
Vigilante
Escort
Citizen x6

GF
Consort
Consig
Firebrand

Base ML's is different because Mafia has extra KPN
3 1/2 Base ML's (+1/2 / BG, Vig*, Esc, PC*; 1/Cop*)
~6 adjusted ML's
Lookout makes it slightly easier to confirm PR's
Town Needs: 8 Clears (7 PR's, PH)
Assessment: Townleaning

Rand 6: T T K T T T S L K

Lookout
Vigilante
Firebrand
Escort
Citizen x9

Goon
Consig
Consort
Tracker

4 1/2 Base ML's (+1/2 Vig*, FB*, Escort)
6 adjusted ML's
Lookout makes PR's more confirmable
Town needs: 8 Clears (4 PR's, M)
Assessment: Balanced Enough

Conclusion: It's a good thing I'm town I guess
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Chemist1422 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:51 pm

Doesn’t matter if it’s town-favored if everyone here sucks at playing town
mist ~ she/her

i guess this is goodbye?
(still here for danganronpa i guess)


stop sending reports to me i'm not a tos game moderator
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:54 pm

Chemist1422 wrote:Doesn’t matter if it’s town-favored if everyone here sucks at playing town

I accounted for that I thought
The mafiauniverse percentage to aim for is 35%-40% so I put 50% as balanced
most of the rands have 60-70%
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:55 pm

consider this account deleted
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby ZoruaLuhansk » Fri Jan 10, 2020 3:59 pm

consider this account deleted
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby Chemist1422 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 4:01 pm

zori do you have a formula to find scum
mist ~ she/her

i guess this is goodbye?
(still here for danganronpa i guess)


stop sending reports to me i'm not a tos game moderator
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Re: XX1 | Flairs' End | Day 1

Postby TheDebil » Fri Jan 10, 2020 4:03 pm

OllyRenard wrote:Wabbit isn't spamming thread. What could this mean?

hes frozen scum
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