by Phone0Ix » Sun Oct 20, 2019 3:55 am
Maybe
Anyways I got a good reason why Sparking isn't the lynch today. There are four situations that everybody knows but still: (Note, Sparking is first letter, Chemist second, Debil third)
- Blackajack was framed and Debil just roleblocked him. TvTvT here.
- It's exactly how people said it did happen, Sparking being transported with Black. SvTvT.
- Chemist just shot Black. TvSvT.
- Black being framed and Debil exploiting the situation. TvTvS.
As you can see, they all have one situation in which they are scum. Now, let's analyse how likely the situations are.
Situation 1 and 4 are very alike and Scum!Debil could pull it off as it's also possible situation 1 happened. However the chance of backfiring also was possible so I'm guessing 1 above 4.
Situation 2, where Sparking is scum, uses alot of chances and the fact people follow it so easily is very strange? How big is the chance both the Cop and the Escort visit a player, and that player gets secretly transported with a mafia member. Now? Small. Situation 2 is BS.
Situation 3 however definitely is a very logical one. It's also alike situation 1, however as it doesn't involve weird chances and a framer on Black it is mechanically the highest chance.
So if you would vote anyone in this scenario, which might even be a bad plan as situation 1 is mechanically also a high chance, you should vote Chemist.
Call me Phone Ig
Or Silver because of my old discord name. Or Mikan because of my new discord name. Or Julian as that's my actual name