Episode XIX | Mafia/Witch Win

[Chemist1422]

Bayesian probability is one thing and the actual instance is other.

not if we're discussing the probability of the instance occuring it's not

[Chemist1422]

chance of mafia hitting witch/NK: 2/14
chance of killing mafia being roleblocked: 1/17

chuckle do you not see the problem here

Sure I'll give you that.

What's your explanation for the missing KP then.

why would I know

[parkerparkour]

Michael|6|roz, ryan, Chemist, Evan, Google, parker;heytheregirl|5|Phone, ladd, EvilD, Harper, Michael;HarperReed|4|MrChuckleteeth, dota, heytheregirl, Uzay;watchme|1|Ultii;Google|1|TheWabbit;Goomba|1|watchme

Not Voting: GrumpyGoomba

/vote parker

Most suspicious voter on Michael

And otherwise Chemist because he was roleblocked

This is another person that I think needs to die

Now that my VFM ended I can finally say that I think that Parker is playing very different tonally than they were during the VFM that just ended in which she was a town PR.
Whether she's cit or actually just scum, I dont think that this play from her is similar to her play in the VFM. And she was sharing tidbits via Discord with me about the VFM during the VFM about her thought process while she was submitting her night actions. I dont think that her play this game is similar whatsoever.

The bias I mentioned about Dota had to do with the fact that I was in the process of watching him deep wolf a game. And I don't think his play thus far is similar to what he had done during VFM.

Ur wrong but goddammit this is really towny feeling
My play style is different mainly because of how different the games are and I also sucked dick in vfm so I’m getting a better handle on how to play mafia again that’s really all I want to say about the matter

[MrChuckleteeth]

Comeon Chemist, it was obvious they are PR from the way they were playing, I even said it d1 several times.
Don't be surprised and you don't really need to know what RT.

Especially that even I only know more or less and don't feel the need to know more.

no my brain's turned off today

and I do want to know if they're claiming escort or not and that's it

How can I be escort if I was roleblocked.

[Chemist1422]

Comeon Chemist, it was obvious they are PR from the way they were playing, I even said it d1 several times.
Don't be surprised and you don't really need to know what RT.

Especially that even I only know more or less and don't feel the need to know more.

no my brain's turned off today

and I do want to know if they're claiming escort or not and that's it

How can I be escort if I was roleblocked.

well because you wouldn't just say "someone tried to roleblock me but I'm immune"

[Chemist1422]

is it bad I want the escort to out now and resolve this

[roz1roz]

Bayesian probability is one thing and the actual instance is other.

not if we're discussing the probability of the instance occuring it's not

Bayesian statistics is about probability of events occurring under different conditions (hitting NK or witch / roleblock causes lack of kill in certain probability).

Doesn't change the fact that this instance could be either and it needs all options considered.


You are still stuck on statistics, when I want to be sure I checked all options, even if out of sheer paranoia.
So yes, mine quote still holds true.

[MrChuckleteeth]

Comeon Chemist, it was obvious they are PR from the way they were playing, I even said it d1 several times.
Don't be surprised and you don't really need to know what RT.

Especially that even I only know more or less and don't feel the need to know more.

no my brain's turned off today

and I do want to know if they're claiming escort or not and that's it

How can I be escort if I was roleblocked.

well because you wouldn't just say "someone tried to roleblock me but I'm immune"

If that was the case then that would mean I roleblocked you.

Do you really think I'm speaking to you like I roleblocked you?

[parkerparkour]

Is The Godfather the only one who can kill

Also not everyone’s here yet someone might hbe been saved

[Chemist1422]

i don't knowwwww

i'm tired

[Chemist1422]

Is The Godfather the only one who can kill

Also not everyone’s here yet someone might hbe been saved

derp denied? maybe?

[roz1roz]

Is The Godfather the only one who can kill

Also not everyone’s here yet someone might hbe been saved

derp denied? maybe?

Isn't this kind of derp which people like me should make, after returning for over 2 years break from ToS?

Weird.

Whatever.

[roz1roz]

Wait roz I'm supposed to be taking this seriously right

If so disregard that answer

I think I figured out why you're asking me this

And then the answer is no

To first, second or both?

Both

Okay, I'm gonna ask you.

The question is... what did you "figure out" from this questions.

[parkerparkour]

Is The Godfather the only one who can kill

Also not everyone’s here yet someone might hbe been saved

derp denied? maybe?

Isn't this kind of derp which people like me should make, after returning for over 2 years break from ToS?

Weird.

Whatever.

The only game I’ve played within like a year is VFM and I fucked the KP on that sooo

[parkerparkour]

Chuckle why are you immediately on chemist anyway

Again, not everyone’s checked in

Seems a bit weird to be making immediate conclusions unless u were already scumrwading him

[Chemist1422]

Wait roz I'm supposed to be taking this seriously right

If so disregard that answer

I think I figured out why you're asking me this

And then the answer is no

To first, second or both?

Both

Okay, I'm gonna ask you.

The question is... what did you "figure out" from this questions.

I figured nothing out from the first but the second I thought you was you asking if you thought I could confidently catch 2 scum

[roz1roz]

@Chemist Hey, let's make a deal, you will out and bus one of your teammates and I will make sure you survive till at least F5. Deal?

Try number 2.

Lets reverse it.

@Chemist - I will tell you info about MY team and you will make sure I stay alive till F5, deal?

I figured nothing out from the first but the second I thought you was you asking if you thought I could confidently catch 2 scum

It was more literal, lmao.

I mean, first:
- You agree to deal (aka. You want the deal and feel you need it)
- You out teammates (aka. You name your townreads if you are town)
- You get protected

Like... okay.

Info in second I intended to say is that my team has at least 7 citizens. Well, it is info about MY team

But yeah, you overbrained it.

[Chemist1422]

oh

the bussing line messed with me

[watchme1]

Everyones pr claiming oh god.

[watchme1]

Is The Godfather the only one who can kill

Also not everyone’s here yet someone might hbe been saved

One of the 4 mafia can choose to kill, and generally the mafia head does the kill so the other 3 mafia can perform the actions. However one of the other 3 can choose to not perform their own night action to do the kill instead if for example the mafia head is a capro for instance wanting to retrain a mafia member into smth else.

[watchme1]

@chuckle why did you jump to the conclusion that the mafia killing was rbd straight up without considering the other possibilities such as hitting immune, saved by town protect, transported into own attack (rare but possible)

[Chemist1422]

@chuckle why did you jump to the conclusion that the mafia killing was rbd straight up without considering the other possibilities such as hitting immune, saved by town protect, transported into own attack (rare but possible)

I literally already said that but yes

[Transcender]

Oh fuck
Its happening

[Transcender]

Are you ready for the 3rd google godpost

[Chemist1422]

[ED/watchme/harper/goomba] is probably about my lynch pool rn

so yeah AMA

Are you ready for the 3rd google godpost

I'm going to drag my face across the keyboard again