18D | CTM! | The End! | Town Wins!!!

[UzayAltay]

Game is dying Btw

so why dont you help it :3

ive said all that needs to be said as far as I am aware for myself

Phone either slipped coven having a necro or is damning himself by trying to defend zorua using a "prospective world of a no-lynch" in which Phone already proved no-lynch causes a loss, no matter what role coven has

Zorua close enough to slipped that they aren't actually a doctor, however, I dont put as much stock into that


I think the best plan of action is to Lynch phone today, and get a coven flip
then, enforce that zorua is "on" crimson, confirming that Crimson Will not die during the night, and coven will have to kill one of me/xlarnet/uzay/zorua depending on who the coven is
if crimson dies, zorua is confirmed scum
if crimson lives, we are in the same spot but its a 3v1 with 1 confirmed town
depending on which coven role there is

if phone flips necro we can no-lynch, as there is only 1 kill potential for coven in the coven leader, ensuring that it becomes a 2v1 with 1 confirmed town, as crimson can still not die without zorua being outed, if they are coven.

If phone flips hex master same plan

If phone flips coven leader we probably still need to Lynch, unless we somehow confirm that there is a necro and not a hex master, because a hex master will probably just fuck us all over, so we just need to trust that we Lynch correctly

The thing is I Dont believe Phone is Coven .
I think Last Coven is either You or Xlranet.

Can you explain why you think phone is Town

Despite this

?

Because I was at Discussion , and All thing You Said " scumslip " come from " no-lynch " Discussion .
I Dont think You are twisting their words , but I Dont think it is scumslip , too .
Townread is due their past play , as I Said before . I can explain it again If You want .

[UzayAltay]

Btw Xlranet Dont come to Eragon's play If You are town
Also it isnt useless If coven had necro , Because it would mean Trap can prevent A kill , which Give us 1 More mislynch before lose
It is only useless If Coven has HM

"Don't come to Eragon's play if you are Town"
-bruh, you can't just say "ignore him if you are Town" without giving actual reasoning

Yes, necro sends a ghoul to kill someone, so traps do the same exact shit as having a coven leader

*without the risk of there being a hex master*

Not Same thing Actually , at CL , it kill CL ; at Necromancer it Dont kill necromancer as I know .
I can dive into mechanichal calculations for proving/disproving lynching RC help us More Than lynching CL , but it is not important IMO , If We lynch 2 Coven , We win , it is that easy . Not lynching Zorua make A significant mechanichal difference If they are doc , but at that case lynching Zorua lose us The Game without " mechanichal disadvantage . " If We lynch RC , it Gives us A mechanichal advantage If Zorua is Coven , but This reduce mechanichal advantage at The case Zorua is town .

I think Phone is town , which come to conclusion 2 scum at Xlranet , Eragon and Zorua . I think Zorua is Coven , which means one of You two is scum : It is either You tricking Xlranet into ML , or Xlranet using The chance and bandwagoning You.
You are not against Zorua being scum , We can discuss Last Coven tomorrow , I Dont want to lose 4v2 when Kmenx Said Zorua is CL 2 days ago . If I am gonna lose , I want to lose either You or Xlranet , or , at smallest chance , Phone .

[UzayAltay]

I just want You to trust me .
Like , I know It is hard to explain but I think Coven's are Zorua/Eragon.
I am taking full blame If We lose , but , just trust me here . If I know Eragon and Phone , Phone is never Coven , and it is 60/40 between Xlranet and Eragon .
Coven cant kill me at night Because This mean Crimson can take Another check , and I just want to road Last Phase that I need to convince myself between Eragon and Xlranet .

Then Did you actually read what I fucking said about lynching phone first, and making Zorua protect crimson

This ensures that crimson, confirmed town and a psychic, will stay alive

FORCING mafia to kill in the PoE

Which helps us more than leavin the final day in a 1 v 3 where absolutely no one is confirmed town, even if some reads help us narrow it down slightly

if scum wants to kill crimson, then they either hit Zorua's protection, if Zorua is doctor, or out Zorua as scum, if Zorua is scum

The thing is We lose immadieatly If Phone isnt Coven .
Yes , I am diving into mechanichal Calculation . It is written from spec. PoV . I assumed possible HM Hadnt hexed 3 town yet at some variations to not mixing Calculation too hard .
Assuming Zorua is CL and cits has RC at 1) , when at 2) , assuming both are at cits .
a) Lynching at cits , B) lynching Zorua
1) Zorua Coven :
a) We lose with 3/4 chance , and at 1/4 chance there is no way We can guarantee We can win : It is A possibility , but it depends Physic luck and Trap WIFOM . For it not being locked , Zorua should kill two not Trapped Citizen between 3 , which is 1/3 chance ( Trap cant be at Dead vig Because at that case CL would die ) . Second part is A bit mixed , but I am assuming optimal town play . For it being locked , Physic should Get Dead town into N5 vision , Than shouldn't say it , and Zorua should kill that town .Dead town showed at vision has 2/3 chance , Zorua killing other town is 1/2 chance . Overall , 2/9 chance Game is being locked after that . At other 7/9 chance , We had to choose between Citizen and Zorua . For making The Calculation easier , Let's assume We lynch Zorua at there for x ( look at 2aiis) times . Ideal X comes 2/7 from here . Our Overall winning chance is 1/9 = ( 1/4 * ( 2/9+ 7/9*2/7 ) .
b) We lose 3/4 chance If We lynch Zorua First . Overall winning chance is 1/4.
2) Zorua isnt Coven
a) We lose at 1/2 chance . At other 1/2 chance , We have 1/2 chance of winning = ( 5/9 + 4/9 )/2 : make Overall Eval 1/4 .
i) We lynch CL. Let's assume Zorua is confirmed bc I wont calculate Zorua being RC Coven for 1) . Winning chance is 5/9 .
(1/3) H)Remaining Coven is HM . We had 1/3 chance winning .
(7/9) N)Remaining Coven is Necro . Traps are not important due Coven always Will kill at Zorua/Crimson. For we locking , Zorua should pull heal , and should come at vision , which is 1/2 * 2/3= 1/3 . If Zorua pull heal , but Dont come at vision , We had 2/3 chance of winning , which give an Overall 1/2 * 1/3 * 2/3= 2/9 chance of winning . If Zorua misses heal , We had 1/2 chance taking A vision , This vision has 2/3 chance having Zorua , which give us 1/2 chance to lynch Correct , which give an Overall 1/2 * 1/2 * 2/3 * 1/2 = 1/12 chance of winning . Last scenario is Zorua misses their heal and We cant take vision/vision is useless , which has 1/2 * ( 1/2 + 1/2 * 2/3) = 5/12 chance , but We should multiple This with 1/3 to find actual winning chance , which give us 5/36 chance . Overall winning chance at there is 1/3 + 2/9 + 1/12 + 5/36 = 28/36 = 7/9 . Due This being higher Than 1/2 , Zorua Will WIFOM The heal , so This is our evaluation .
ii)We lynch RC. Coven have 2 option : Going similiar to 1-a) , or going different and kill Zorua + Crimson . İdealle , it give 4/9 chance of winning .
(4/9 ) S) We can lock Game at only 2/9 chance , ideal X ( look at 1a) should make S and D equal , so calculate D. From There , X should be 2/7 .
(4/9) D) For 2/3 chance , We had 1/2 chance of winning , for 1/3 chance , We had 1/3 chance of winning , which make our Chance 4/9 .
b) We lose . Overall winning chance is 0 .

So , Let's assume Zorua flipping scum chance is Z . For b being better Than A =>
Z/4 > Z/9 + (1-Z) / 4 .
7Z/18 > 1/4
Z > 9/14


So If You think Zorua flipping scum is More likely Than 9/14 , Than We should vote Zorua .

[UzayAltay]

Special Thanks to force me diving into Math at 11 pm

[UzayAltay]

#940345
Special Thanks to Remind me This when making that post
Funny thing is that post was At Dual-Mafia Game

[Crimson97]

Welp /Vote Zorua

[Crimson97]

If watchme was mafia it makes senes that mafia would want to get rid of CL. Let's hope this was the case.

[UzayAltay]

Mistake?:
Spoiler: The woman reached a decision. “When? Unrestricted use of my powers? This is very intriguing. My name is Bakt Naunet,” she declared. “I am the Necromancer!”

The Witch threw a handful of ashes into the air, opening a portal home. “Welcome, Bakt, to my Coven,” said the Witch.

Upon walking through the portal the Witch saw Nikki and Kande at the mouth of the cave, peering across the valley. She joined them and through the distance saw a masked man holding a green lantern with smoke streaming out. Green billowing clouds descended upon the town. The town members seemed to be falling ill, coughing and sneezing as they stumbled around lethargically.

Turning to the other witches, the Witch cried, “Who is that man? Is he a demon? What is he doing to the Townsfolk? They are mine to kill! Mine!” she screamed.

The siege on the North Pole took its toll on the Witch and Helena. They knew they could not take the Town down with just the two of them. A true Coven was the only way they would have enough power to destroy the Town and get vengeance for the Witch’s sisters. Where would these new members come from, or rather, when was the real question as the Witch reached into her skirt pocket and pulled out the magical ashes of her fallen sisters, then sprinkled them in the air.

A portal opened and the Witch said to Helena, “We may have failed last time, but this time will be different. We will create the greatest Coven to ever exist, in any time, throughout time.” as they both stepped through the portal, spawned by the glittering ashes.

They stepped through the portal upon a land many years ago, stone columns towered over the witches, and they stood atop an island. Instantly the witches could feel a powerful magic hanging over the land.

“Can you feel that Helena?” smirked the Witch.

“Yes, I haven’t felt a power like this in a long time. This isn’t ordinary magic. There is a powerful curse at work here, so powerful I question whether we should move forward.” said Helena.

“Don’t back out on me now Helena, you owe me, and the power here is exactly what we are looking for.” pushed the Witch.

Smash! Clang!
-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

mouse212 Was Killed By Coven Leader They Were Spoiler: Vigilante
An ex-captain of the Salem militia is infuriated by the increase of crime on the streets – HIS streets!

Although the Vigilante was fired for his violent and rash methods of war, he still has a strong sense of justice, or so he tells himself. As the death toll in the Town rises, his anger only grows as he finds the killer's identity obvious. That night, he makes his final, heavy decision: If the law won't take down this fiend, he'll have to do it himself. He fishes the pistol out of the end table beside his bed, loading it with his two remaining bullets. One to kill, and one for backup. He usually doesn't miss, but it pays to be cautious.

Using the shadow of night as his disguise, he sneaks into the suspect's house to find him cleaning a bloody knife. "I knew it!" the Vigilante tells himself, his lips curling in disgust at the sight. Letting out a quiet, steady breath, he raises his gun and pulls the trigger. His target hits the floor, all signs of life disappearing from his now limp body. Pleased with the results, the Vigilante slips back into his home and climbs into bed. He sleeps soundly, feeling as if a heavy weight has been lifted from his shoulders.

The following morning, a panicked frenzy meets him in the square. The Doctor has been discovered dead in his home after performing surgery on a wounded patient. Nausea washes over him. He has killed a fellow Town member. Self-preservation pins his lips together during the day, and misery drags his feet back home that night. He finds his gun resting on the end table, just where he had left it after slaying an innocent soul. The weight returns, crashing down on him heavier than before. One bullet left.
dota2reporter Was Killed By Vigilante They Were
Spoiler: Trapper
A master engineer. It was his dream for years, he always wanted to be known for building great machinery. He had decided to start small, as building simple hunting traps. However, just after seven days of selling hunting traps, he was employed by the Towns very own Mayor to defend against recent claims of a Coven about. He was recognized for his skill in building traps and was asked to build protective machines, and he has come up with the perfect trap for the job. A good friend of his is familiar with brewing revealing potions, which gave him an idea.

He grabbed a bunch of reveal potions, spare metal, and wood, and starts to bend the materials into the masterpiece he was going to build. The trap being stepped on will use a simple lever mechanism underneath the boards of the home, which will press another mechanism which will force the potion out. The rest was simple, put a bear trap on it. Once they step on it, a gun given to the trapped will be able to shoot them dead. He looked at his creation and smiled. The Mayor has asked for it be set up for him at his home, that's easy enough for the Master Trapper.

After setting up the masterpiece he had created, he left the home of the Mayor and- he got shot as he went through the door. Ambushed, he was shot in his arm, he must have been taller than the Ambusher expected. The Trapper collapsed onto the floor. The Ambusher walked up to him slowly, and strangely enough, the Trapper smiled, and got back up quickly and ran back inside.

The Ambusher, confused from his sudden ecstasy, chased inside after him, and got trapped! The bear trap dug deep into his legs, and the pressure applied to the mechanism below only made it worse. The reveal potion hit his head, breaking into many shards, causing him to scream in pain.

The Ambusher dropped his gun from the pain, and then it was the Trapper's turn to take aim.
Day 5 Begins It Will End

6h to EOD

[UzayAltay]

ZoruaLuhansk|2|UzayAltay,Crimson;
Xlranet|1|ZoruaLuhansk;
Phone0Ix|2|Eragon1329,Xlranet;
Eragon1329|1|Phone0Ix

[jucktropy]

Current Vote Count

Player	Votes	Voters
	#	Votes Until Majority

Not Voting:
No One

[Phone0Ix]

/vote Zorua

Self-pres

[Eragon1329]

Ok uzay

thanks for that work

but I’m not reading any of it except for the last paragraph Becuase my brain would physically explode.
So, I’ll just trust that you know what you’re doing, and yes I’m more than 9/14 confident that zorua flips scum


ill vote Zorua closer to EoD, to give anyone who wants time a chance to post anything time

[Eragon1329]

/unvote for now

[Eragon1329]

If watchme was mafia it makes senes that mafia would want to get rid of CL. Let's hope this was the case.

Yeah it’s almost definite that zorua is scum outside of that

And then that makes it even more likely as well as a good chance to flip coven leader

[Phone0Ix]

Ah why does Eragon now want to lynch Zorua, just when I'm certain that Zorua and Eragon could very well be the scumteam :/

[ZoruaLuhansk]

Oh
written in the stars
A million miles away
A message to the mane
Oh
Seasons come and go
But I will never change
And I'm on my way

Let's go
Yeah
You're listening now
They say they ain't heard nothing like this in a while
That's why they play my song on so many different dials
'Cause I got more fuckin' hits than a disciplined child
When they see me everybody brrap's, brraps
Man I'm like a young gun fully black Barrack
I cried tear drops over the massive attack
I only make hits like I work with a racket and bat
Look at my jacket and hat
So damn berserk
So down to earth
I'm bringing gravity back
Adopted by the major I want my family back
People work hard just to get all their salary taxed
Look I'm just a writer from the ghetto like Malory Blackman
Where the hells all the sanity at, damn
I used to be the kid that no one cared about
That's why you have to keep screaming 'til they hear you out

Oh written in the stars
A million miles away
A message to the mane
Oh
Seasons come and go
But I will never change
And I'm on my way

Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!

Yeah, I needed a change
When we ate we never took because we needed a change
I needed a break
For a sec' I even gave up believing and praying
I even done illegal stuff and was leaded astray
They say the money is the root to the evilest ways
But have you ever been so hungry that it keeps you awake
Mate, now my hunger would leave them amazed
Great, it feels like a long time coming, fam'
Since the day I thought of that cunning plan
One day I had a dream I tried to chase it
But I wasn't going nowhere, running man!
I knew that maybe someday I would understand
Trying to turn a tenner to a hundred grand
Everyone's a kid that no-one cares about
You just have to keep screaming 'til they hear you out

Oh
written in the stars
A million miles away
A message to the mane
Oh
Seasons come and go
But I will never change
And I'm on my way

Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Cheers... Cheers... Cheers...
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Let me tell you now... now... now...
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh!
Stop... Stop... Stop...

[instrumental]

Oh
seasons come and go
Cheers... Cheers... Cheers...
But I will never change
I won't change...
And I'm on my waaaaaaaaaaaay...

/vote ZoruaLuhansk

[jucktropy]

Current Vote Count

Player	Votes	Voters
	#	Votes Until Majority

Not Voting:
Eragon1329

ZoruaLuhansk Will Be Lynched

[jucktropy]

Burn The Witch:
Spoiler: In the distance the witches heard the sounds of battle. Hoping to see this magical power in action the witches rushed over to the sounds.

“Who are you?! What are you doing here?! Leave now!” a woman’s voice shouted.

“I am Perseus, and I have come for your head!” yelled a man.

“Ahhh!” The woman’s voice let out a shriek of pain as the witches came over a hill and their eyes beheld the sight in front of them.

The woman had a giant snake tail instead of legs, and her hair was made of countless snakes, two of which were flailing about spewing blood where the cut off snake’s heads had been. There were many deep cuts across her body spotting her in the deep crimson color of blood.

The snake haired woman swung her head to Perseus and her eyes sent out of a flash of light. Perseus shielded his eyes. The Witch and Helena had heard of this kind of power, and this kind of being, a Gorgon. She did not use magic herself, but she was cursed. The Witch and Helena knew that a curse like this would be a powerful asset to them, and it did not seem like she would be winning this fight on her own.

They jumped into action. The Gorgon seemed stunned that someone would help her, and when she saw that they used magic it enraged her.

“What do you think you are doing! Leave my home, or I will kill you all!” screamed the Gorgon.

The Witch declared “We are here to help you. Let us take care of him while you tend to your wounds.”

Helena began to cast spells at Perseus, while the Witch channeled her powers. Perseus raised his reflective shield and the magic began to deflect off. One of the stray spells clipped the Witch in the arm and she fell to the ground.

“Are you OK?!” shouted Helena.

“Yes, just keep him occupied, and don’t hit me again!” scolded the Witch.

Perseus shouts as he swung his sword at Helena “What do you witches want, leave me and Medusa be or I will strike you both down along with this beast!” Helena ducked, but Perseus smashed his shield into her flinging her backwards into a cliff. “Any last words?” chuckled Perseus. He began to stab towards Helena when he froze in place.
-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

ZoruaLuhansk Was Lynched On Day 5 They Were
Spoiler: Coven Leader
I've always had... strange powers. I've never known why. Ever since I could remember, maybe my mom dropped me as a child or something, but I've always had something... "quirky" about me. When I was a child, odd little quirks would occur. Like things falling from where they were hung, ancient chanting faintly whispered. Things you, couldn't explain.

Although the one thing that had always been known, and never changed. My eyes were very alluring. I could, control things, see into their thoughts, get them to do whatever I wanted. I was like a ghost. A ghost who could watch your every move, grinning behind you, making you do things against your will. I guess it didn’t help with how mischievous I was all the time. Pulling pranks, stirring up dark things. Then, I snapped though. Something… changed. I went into a much darker tone, more analytical, and more… sinister.

Perhaps it’s when I met a woman in the streets, selling items that swirled in a glass vial, then being rejected. Perhaps it’s when I saw a young girl, being attacked, to only turn the attackers to stone. Perhaps, it was when I saw a man poison his lover in cold blood. Maybe it was when I saw a dark shadow slowly bring the dead to life, to use to kill a man. Or maybe it was when I was struggling to even live. Whatever might have been the trigger, that’s when my life turned to what I do now. Controlling people. At first, it was only to live, to strive. Then, it became an addiction, as I used it for more sadistic use...

Perhaps that was the turning point. Finally, I decided to... stir something up. Those “rejects” I saw on the streets, scraping by like me. Maybe, just maybe, we could live together in comfort. Making everyone live like we did. So, I created the coven. Salem was always a troublesome place, so why not have some fun?

Night 5 Begins It Will End
Send Your Night Action 5 To Jucktropy
Night Skip Action Has Been Activated All Alive People Must Sent Me "/Night Skip" to get the nightskiped

[jucktropy]

The Finale:
Spoiler: “Rest in Peace.” Said Helena with a smile as Perseus pushed his sword through his own skull. His lifeless corpse fell to the ground while magic energies flickered off his body. Helena looked to the Witch. “Any longer and I would have died.”

“Who are you witches?!” shouted Medusa.

“Is that any way to talk to the people who just saved your life, you ingrate!” scowled the Witch.

“I could kill you both right now! Don’t you spe-”

“If you kill us you will never get your true form back.” Interrupted the Witch calmly. “I know what you are, and I know what was done to you. This curse is powerful, but can be lifted with the right amount of magic… We do require your help with another matter, in exchange.”

Medusa was taken aback. A god’s power turned her into what she was, could mortal magic reverse it? She thought it over, and realized nothing she had done so far worked. “My name is Medusa, how can I help?”

The Witch cracked a smile while throwing more ashes from her pocket into the air as a portal opened. “Come with us,” said the Witch mischievously as they walked through the portal into an alleyway.

A bustling city was visible from the alleyway where the Witch, Helena and Medusa, the newest addition to their Coven stood.

“Is that the house?” asked Helena.

“Yes, it is.” Said the Witch as they started across the street to the house of Nicolas Flamel. The famed alchemist.

Medusa could not follow them into the house as her figure would give the stone fright of death to any who witnessed it. The Witch and Helena walked up to the door and knocked. Perenelle Flamel, Nicolas’ wife answers. “Yes, how may I help you?”

The two witches pushed past Perenelle and ask her where Nicolas is. Perenelle told them that he was out and wouldn’t be back for some time, but they knew she was lying. The portal opened up just outside the house. It drew them there for a reason. “Don’t make us ask you again.” said the Witch as magical energy began to surround her hands.

Suddenly, the sound of shattering glass. Crack. The Witch’s hands began to smoke and burn as she let out a scream of pain. “Nicolas, you wretch!” The witch spun around to see a woman, no older than twenty standing at the bottom of the staircase.

“Don’t you touch my mother!” Another vial was in her hands, and tears were forming in her eyes.

“Where did you learn to make potions like this?!” yelled the Witch angrily.

“From my father.” said the girl defiantly.

“Where is he? We need to have a word with him.” said the Witch

“He was taken from us years ago now. Nikki has taken on his work and used his name to publish her findings.” said Perenelle.

The Witch wondered why she was brought here if Nicolas Flamel was taken. “Ack.” She looked down at her badly burned hands, when it hit her. She wasn’t brought there to recruit Nicolas Flamel, she was brought there to recruit his daughter. “What if I told you that we could help you find your father?”

“Really!” said Nikki.

“We need your help first though.” said the Witch.

The girl looked at her mother, and then nodded at the Witch. “My name is Nikki Flamel, how can I help?”

The Witch and her growing coven continued to travel through time, recruiting powerful beings throughout time for her mission.

There was a rumbling deep in the bowels of the world. “Meddling with time, what a monstrous magical mistake. I must put an end to this.” whispered a voice in the darkness. “I must bide my time, and regain my powers if I am going to eradicate this disease on the world.” spoke a sickly man sitting atop a white horse.
-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

UzayAltay Was Killed By Hex Master They Were
Spoiler: Citizen

Day 6 Begins It Will End

[Phone0Ix]

Ehh Crimson is still alive?

@Pestilence

What happens if a role that cant visit, but is a PR, gets controlled? Ex. Psychic, Veteran, Medium

[Phone0Ix]

Also my possible 'scumslip' that there was a Necro now is proven wrong -_-

[Phone0Ix]

Who claimed controlled N2?

Crimson, what is your result?

[Phone0Ix]

What if watchme was Psychic and that controlled Psychics can die to Medusa

[Phone0Ix]

Because why was Uzay killed?

[jucktropy]

Ehh Crimson is still alive?

@Pestilence

What happens if a role that cant visit, but is a PR, gets controlled? Ex. Psychic, Veteran, Medium

If It Can't Visit It Can't You just answered yourself regardless of PR