Return to: [Newcomer FM] NFM30 | Game Over [Town wins!]
eeelneekey wrote:There is only one possible scenario where Tates is town, and that's that the Mafia decided not to kill willingly. Decide whether you think that's a likely tactic.
eeelneekey wrote:RajolAttates wrote:Once there are 3 or less votes on me, I'll start looking into ISOs.
Lol no, you don't get to hold Town to ransom in order to do what any town-motivated person would want to do (help town). The audacity.
TheForgot3n1 wrote:I don't want to clutter the thread more than I already have about this stuff, but I explained all of those questions in my second post of day 4.
To be honest Tates, I think that both you and Schultz are mafia. I've noticed that neither of you are talking directly to each other. That usually indicates some kind of connection, mafia usually.
TheForgot3n1 wrote:In comparison to that, the likelihood of Schultz being town is to me practically none (2%-7% maybe, Schultz mafia in 93%-98% of cases), but for you it depends on how towny you think I am.
eeelneekey wrote:RajolAttates wrote:I was getting desperate, but because there's absolutely nothing I can do, I can only wait for my lynch to prove you all wrong.
Also, Forgotten and everyone else, do you think Tates' "defense" of themselves is coming from a town-motivated point of view? Half of the people I've townread are providing better explanations for how the Mafia could've framed Tates than Tates himself is.
eeelneekey wrote:p-edit2:RajolAttates wrote:Are you a part of the Mafia so you can tell what they know and they do not know?
*sigh*
Yep, you got me, I'm Mafia. Because scumhunting & trying to understand what happens at night in order to work out why there was no kill (which you're doing too, I might add), is a scumtell.
eeelneekey wrote:Yes, because Tates' "mislynch" is perfectly guaranteed, look at how easily the town has lynched him with almost no discussion or questioning.
eeelneekey wrote:RajolAttates wrote:Just because you find the strategy pointless doesn't mean that they find the strategy pointless.
Attempting to manipulate the town has risks, so if it goes wrong, one of the 3 Mafia die.
In order to prevent that, they can guarantee a mislynch in order to waste discussion time and get a day where the Mafia can rest easily.
So, tell me, would you riskily get 3 kills or would you rather get 2 guaranteed kills?
Yes, because Tates' "mislynch" is perfectly guaranteed, look at how easily the town has lynched him with almost no discussion or questioning.
I'd rather get a guaranteed kill during the night and then a possible mislynch the next day than willingly give up a definite kill in order to make the next day's mislynch a little easier and "rest easy". Jesus.
Also, suggesting the Mafia never, ever manipulates the Town day discussion because it's "too risky". Lol.
eeelneekey wrote:I have never denied that the mafia could have skipped their night kill. I'm not "blind", thanks. But saying they knew it would lead to a mislynch on the Escort's target is ridiculous.
eeelneekey wrote:What if lijik roleblocked someone who was much more townread than Tates? What if lijik had roleblocked one of them anyway, which was quite likely?
eeelneekey wrote:Listen, I understand that you want your CC gone, but you're "blinded" by your own bias in that regard. You're saying that it's more likely that the Mafia would choose to purposely skip a definite kill in order to loosely frame one person (who could've been one of their own anyway), rather than kill one townie and then manipulate Town into a bonus mislynch the next day. That's ridiculous.
eeelneekey wrote:I'd rather lynch a Citizen claim who's almost certainly scum, barring one extremely unlikely circumstance, than pick 50:50 between two PR claims. We can sort that mess out tomorrow. Always go with the more secure and likely-to-be-scum lynch, rather than the one no one has any secure leads on other than a gut feeling.
Lexiam wrote:Rolelist:
Town Investigative
Town Protective
Town Killing
Random Town
Random Town
Citizen
Citizen
Citizen
Citizen
Citizen
Citizen
Citizen
Mafia Support
Random Mafia
Random Mafia
Witch
Serial Killer
Schultz128 wrote:RajolAttates wrote:TheForgot3n1 wrote:Disguiser cannot roll in this setup Rajol. Look at invest results. You were roleblocked by someone.
Only Jailor can't appear in this setup. Did you read the first page or am I missing something?
And I admitted to being roleblocked at the start of the thread, do you even read?
Also it's Tate's ffs, not Rajol.
The only unknown Mafia left is the Mafia Tactical, which Disguiser cannot be.
RajolAttates wrote:Also it's Tate's ffs, not Rajol.
TheForgot3n1 wrote:Disguiser cannot roll in this setup Rajol. Look at invest results. You were roleblocked by someone.
Tiltedcomedian wrote:RajolAttates wrote:snip quote chain
I think I got an idea:
Puts on Varanus's tin-foil hat.
What if there wasn't a blackmailer?
If that's the case, then there could be another RM that we don't even know about, so here's my thoughts:
There is a disguiser and consort in the Mafia.
When you think about it like this, it sorta makes sense. The Consort can RB me, the Disguiser can then claim to RB me, get me lynched, and then disguise at night to get away easily.
Of course, this plan has some risk to it, but it may be what the mafia is doing right now.
If you find any flaws in this idea, please say so.
If there wasn't a Blackmailer, then jakob's slot lied and he is Mafia. Are you saying he is the Disguiser then and it is Schultz/lijik/jakob?
eeelneekey wrote:RajolAttates wrote:Can you quickly provide me with everything we know about everyone? As in, roles and what happened last night.
Why am I doing the legwork for your defense? You should be paying enough attention/care enough to scroll back three pages.
But here it is anyway, it's useful for everyone.eeelneekey wrote:Rolelist:
Spoiler:
Last Night:
Noodle (Veteran) (probably) did not alert.
TheForgotten (Marshal) guarded lijik.
Schultz (Doctor) healed lijik.
Neither TP claim reports a night result indicating their protection was needed, meaning lijik was not attacked.
lijik (Escort) roleblocked Tates.
The Mafia kill was unsuccessful.
eeelneekey wrote:RajolAttates wrote:If I'm going to get lynched, Lexiam better make tomorrow's title something about extremely bad luck.
Bad luck for scum because the escort managed to block their kill and prove at least one of their members all in one fell swoop?
Or bad luck because you can't think of a single way the mafia got prevented from killing last night when the TP's target wasn't even attacked and the only person who was roleblocked was you, a "citizen"?